For the first time in forever, multiple blockbusters are actually contenders to win the. But first, they’ve got to get nominated.
The dark comedy when the field for the 95th (airing March 12 on ABC) is announced Tuesday morning, and sequels loom as heavyweight contenders that could throw extra spiciness into an awards season that’s somewhat back to normal after a couple of pandemic-plagued years.and autobiographical coming-of-age drama scored big at the , while sci-fi hit led the pack alongside “Banshees.” However,
Could ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ soar in the Oscar nominations? Don’t count it out
While everything might seem to be falling into place for probable nominees, that’s usually just when chaos is around the corner. Let’s separate the potential contenders from the pretenders in the six major Oscar categories:
- Blockbusters will tussle for prime spots in the best picture field.
- It’s a two-person race in the best actress category and a talented trio for best actor.
- Supporting stars Angela Bassett and Ke Huy Quan are the easiest bets of all.
The best: The producers and the directors usually know what’s going on before the rest of us – the vast majority of their nominees make the Oscar cut. So expect the shoo-ins to be “Fabelmans,” “Banshees,” “Everything Everywhere,” “Top Gun: Maverick” and “,” which all scored Producers Guild of America and Directors Guild of America nods. “ ,” with Globe, PGA and nominations to its credit, also has a good shot, as does “ ,” boasting Globe and Screen Actors Guild ensemble honors.
The rest: High-profile PGA nominees “,” “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” and seem more primed to take the last three spots than the polarizing “ ,” though don’t count out the love for . Other possibilities include the popular Indian action epic “ ,” BAFTA -leading and SAG-nominated – they could all be jockeying for a slot if “Babylon” (with its mixed reviews) or “Top Gun” falters.
The best: This looks to be a three-dude race between Golden Globe victors(“Elvis”) and Colin Farrell (“Banshees”) plus “Whale” star Fraser, who scored extra awards-season momentum with his after winning the . It’s safe to say those guys are locks, especially with Screen Actors Guild and BAFTA nominations.
The rest: The past two Oscar cycles have seen the SAG and Oscar best actor contingents match up exactly, which is a boon for SAG nominees Bill Nighy (“Living”) – who also snagged a BAFTA nod – and Adam Sandler (“Hustle”). Sandler still doesn’t have an Oscar nomination, so the Academy could look at it as a career attaboy. But if they don’t, waiting in the wings to scoop a spot are newcomers such as BAFTA nominee(“Aftersun”) as well as two Globe contenders, (“Babylon”) and Jeremy Pope (“The Inspection”). Then there’s , the face of “Top Gun” who probably has a few voters rooting for him.
The best: way through awards season with Globe wins and SAG nominations, and that inevitable showdown is happening at the Oscars because, barring some multiverse mishap, they’re in.(“Tár”) and (“Everything Everywhere”) tore their
The rest: The other three spots are less clear-cut. Oscar winner(“The Woman King”) has put together a nice resume, with SAG, Globe and BAFTA nods, and fellow SAG nominees (“Till”) and (“Blonde”) are also in the mix. – who arguably would have fared better this season as a supporting contender – has a shot thanks to “Fabelmans” momentum. Also on the outside looking in are Globe nominees (“Babylon”) and (“Empire of Light”).
Best supporting actor
The best: No one in Hollywood is as beloved as “Everything Everywhere” star/Globe winner/SAG nomineethese days because of his comeback story and overall Cinderella mojo. At least one actor usually runs the table every year and Quan’s the top bet of this Oscar class. Likely taking up another three slots: the “Banshees” duo of Brendan Gleeson and as well as antagonist Eddie Redmayne, who each racked up SAG, Globe and BAFTA nominations.
The rest: For that last remaining spot – or maybe two, given that “Good Nurse” isn’t exactly a major awards player – SAG nomineeis in contention for “Fabelmans.” His co-star Judd Hirsch is a possibility too: The longtime Emmy-winning actor has only been nominated for an Oscar once, for 1980’s “Ordinary People.” Also standing a chance are Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”), who like Hirsch was nominated for Critics Choice, and BAFTA nominee Micheal Ward (“Empire of Light”).
Best supporting actress
The best:rules Wakanda and, so far, the leadup to this category, which looks to be the acting field most in flux. The “Black Panther” star took home gold from the Globes and Critics Choice Awards, plus scored SAG and BAFTA nominations. Kerry Condon (“Banshees”) and (“Everything Everywhere”) – still seeking her first Oscar nod after decades in the business – are also safe bets, with each earning SAG, Globe, Critics Choice and BAFTA nods.
The rest: What’s left is pretty much a free-for-all with a bunch of talented contenders. Curtis’ co-star Stephanie Hsu snagged a SAG nom for her breakout role. Hong Chau (“The Whale”) impressed the SAG and BAFTA contingents, while Dolly de Leon (“Triangle of Sadness”) and(“She Said”) have Globe and BAFTA nominations in their favor. And don’t overlook (“Glass Onion”) or Jessie Buckley (“Women Talking”), both Critics Choice-nominated standouts in acclaimed ensembles.
The best: Every year, to an uncanny degree, four out of five DGA nominees make it into the category. In other words, things are looking pretty groovy for Globe champ Spielberg, Critics Choice-winning duo Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere”), Todd Field (“Tár”), Martin McDonagh (“Banshees”) and Joseph Kosinski (“Top Gun: Maverick”).
The rest: So who’s the odd man out? Probably Kosinski, since his best picture contender is the only one without any major award wins to date. Sarah Polley (“Women Talking”) could take his place and avoid an all-male field following two straight victories by female filmmakers. way in off of the wave of popularity for their films. But maybe a surprise dark horse arises from the BAFTA slate, which includes (“Decision to Leave”), Edward Berger (“All Quiet on the Western Front”) and Gina Prince-Bythewood (“The Woman King”).has a puncher’s chance thanks to his “Avatar” sequel’s box-office success. Baz Luhrmann (“Elvis”) or S.S. Rajamouli (“RRR”) could ride their
Read more about this year’s Oscar contenders
‘The Banshees of Inisherin’ review:
Ke Huy Quan: