Sleeper is a nebulous time period in delusion soccer. One dimension by no means suits all with any column.
My objective with this piece is that can assist you imagine delusion choices that could be lost sight of or under-appreciated, be it as brief fill-ins, imaginable intensity grabs or perhaps the impetus for a prop play or DFS slot. As all the time, your mileage might range, and your league — and explicit wishes — higher than an intruder ever may.
Closing week used to be some of the higher sleeper weeks, with Joshua Dobbs, Baker Mayfield, Noah Brown and Rico Dowdle all beating their projections. Let’s have a look at if we will be able to stay the nice vibes going for Week 11.
WR Jayden Reed vs. Chargers 30% rostered)
TE Luke Musgrave vs. Chargers (38% rostered)
It is the time of yr when rookie pass-catchers regularly begin to unfold their wings, as the sport begins to decelerate for them. Each Reed (5-84-1) and Musgrave (2-64-0) had been heard from at Pittsburgh closing week, towards a powerful Steelers protection. The task is way more uncomplicated this Sunday, at house towards a Chargers protection that struggles to hide each the flanks and the seam. Your whole passes appear to paintings towards the LAC.
After all, to consider any Inexperienced Bay advice, you additionally must log out on Love, who has now not been a very simple watch this yr. However he has met or exceeded his delusion projection in 3 of his closing 4 begins, and perhaps he merits the late-developing Polaroid tale too, for the reason that it is his first yr beginning. Although you’ll’t envision Love being a long-term resolution for the Packers, the weaknesses of the Chargers protection will most probably go with the flow the Packers offense this week.
RB Ty Chandler at Broncos (45% rostered)
Issues alternate rapid within the NFL. Each the Vikings and Broncos seemed shipwrecked a few month in the past, however they have got rallied properly. One way or the other Minnesota is on a five-game successful streak regardless of dropping Kirk Cousins on the entrance of that extend, and Denver has pulled 3 upsets in a row, a nifty comeback from a workforce that used to be torched 70-20 at Miami on the finish of September.
To be truthful, Denver’s dashing protection has struggled all yr. The Miami blowout is the outlier, however Denver ranks thirty second in rush protection DVOA for a explanation why. And with that, most likely Chandler can come via right here. He is prone to be Minnesota’s featured again for the second one directly week, with quantity particularly secure for the reason that Alexander Mattison (concussion) will most probably sit down out. And perhaps Chandler can take the task clear of Mattison both manner — Mattison is lagging at 3.5 yards consistent with raise and four.1 yards consistent with contact. Chandler’s potency hasn’t been dramatically higher, however it is nonetheless higher. In all probability Sunday at Mile Prime is the inflection level.
WR Curtis Samuel vs. Giants (31% rostered)
Samuel returned from a toe harm closing week and the effects were not thrilling — two brief catches. However he used to be centered six occasions via Sam Howell, on the expense of a few different gamers (Jahan Dotson noticed simply two goals, each incomplete). Now Samuel returns house towards a Giants secondary that is been excellent for huge receivers (third-most issues allowed) and particularly leaky in slot protection. Samuel had labored into low-end WR3 territory ahead of the harm, totaling 25 catches and 3 general touchdowns over a five-game stretch. He is an affordable spot get started if the bye week has you digging deep.
RB Rico Dowdle at Panthers (13% rostered)
Maximum of Dowdle’s manufacturing closing week got here past due, however it did come, cleanup paintings because the Cowboys completed off a blowout of the hapless Giants. And that recreation script may simply land once more, because the Pokes are double-digit favorites on the Panthers. And we will be able to’t forget about that in each per-opportunity metric, Dowdle is best than Tony Pollard this yr — consistent with rush, consistent with catch, consistent with contact, consistent with goal. The Cowboys would possibly get started blending in Dowdle extra as a proactive runner, now not simply proscribing him to last time. Additionally, take middle in Carolina’s run protection — via DVOA, it is the worst within the NFC.
It is simple to offload at the Jags for that unsightly loss towards the 49ers, however perhaps that consequence used to be extra about San Francisco being nice than Jacksonville being awful. Certain, the Jacksonville passing recreation has kinks to iron out, and someone who drafted Trevor Lawrence and Calvin Ridley is not glad at this time. However let’s now not pass over the chance in entrance people.
The very first thing I have a look at once I imagine D/ST streamers is the purpose unfold — I desire a workforce that is preferred via a wholesome margin. Jacksonville assessments that field, a 6.5-point favourite towards Tennessee. And whilst Will Levis had thrilling moments in his first two begins, he seemed each bit an green rookie at Tampa Bay closing week (4 sacks, one pick out, no touchdowns, simply 5.1 YPA). In all probability the Jaguars can regulate the sport float and make Tennessee one-dimensional for the second one directly week.